Consumer Durables Stocks: Ready for a Comeback
Consumer Durables Stocks: Ready for a Comeback
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The consumer durables sector is poised for a resurgence as investors show renewed interest in these companies. This article explores the reasons behind this uptick and highlights the preferred stock picks in this sector.

Signs of Revival

Investor appetite for consumer durable companies is on the rise, driven by expectations of a pick-up in the capital expenditure cycle. This renewed optimism stems from the potential for increased revenues in the coming months, especially with the festive season just around the corner.

Preferred Stock Picks

Analysts have identified several consumer durable companies as their top picks in this promising sector. These include:

White Goods and Durable Sector

  • 3M India
  • Crompton Consumer
  • Havells India
  • Orient Electric
  • Syrma SGS
  • TTK Prestige
  • Whirlpool
  • Symphony
  • Voltas
  • Polycab India
  • KEI Industries

Bullish Outlook

Analysts express a bullish outlook for consumer durables, citing strong return ratios and untapped growth potential due to low penetration levels. The shift from the unorganized to organized sector is expected to drive revenue growth, while premiumization is likely to enhance profitability.

Historical Performance

Historically, consumer durables companies have thrived during the third quarter, generating around 30% of their annual sales during this period. This trend is expected to continue, with a robust demand outlook in H2FY24, thanks to the festive season.

Sector Resilience

Despite facing challenges such as untimely rains, elevated raw material prices, and high inflation in recent quarters, the sector is showing resilience. Stock valuations have corrected, and analysts believe there is room for further improvement as earnings rebound.

Recent Gains

The BSE Consumer Durable index has surged by 8% in the past month, outperforming the Sensex, which saw a gain of only 0.5%. This recent upswing underscores the growing investor confidence in the sector's potential.

Positive Macro Tailwinds

Optimism about demand recovery remains strong, supported by macroeconomic tailwinds, low penetration in certain product categories, and expansion opportunities for companies. The upcoming festive season is expected to provide a significant boost to consumer applications.

Margin Enhancement

Additionally, margin enhancement is anticipated to begin in Q2 FY24 due to reduced input costs and steady demand in the real estate and construction segments. This positive development is attributed to the government's commitment to promoting domestic electronics manufacturing, creating a favorable business environment for electronic manufacturing services (EMS) providers.

Top Picks

For investors looking to capitalize on the resurgence of the consumer durables sector, several top picks stand out:

  • ICICI Securities: Recommends Havells India, Voltas, V Guard, and 3M India.
  • HDFC Securities: Believes easing commodity prices will drive price elastic demand, improving valuation multiples.
  • LKP Securities: Expresses positivity on Havells, V-Guard, and Crompton Consumer.
  • Geojit Financial Services: Highlights Havells, Symphony, Voltas, Polycab, KEI Industries, and V-Guard as top picks.

In conclusion, the consumer durables sector appears poised for a comeback, driven by a favorable economic environment and positive market sentiment. As investors gear up for the festive season, these preferred stock picks could offer significant potential for growth.

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